STEAM GROUP
y2kbased's betting strategies y2kbetting
Join Group
STEAM GROUP
y2kbased's betting strategies y2kbetting
678
MEMBERS
11
IN-GAME
120
ONLINE
Founded
15 April, 2015
Language
English
Location
Canada 
Overview Announcements Discussions Events Members Comments
y2k 9 May, 2015 @ 11:46pm
May 10th - Dreamhack Tours Day 2
Format: Dreamhack - Best of Three

♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥ Odds: Fnatic 90% - HellRaisers 10%

My odds: Fnatic 80% - HellRaisers 20%

Kelly Criterion: 11% on HellRaisers (at 9:1)

My recommended bet: 3.7% on HellRaisers, odds could still drop a bit though

My bet: $510 on HR


I'm giving HR 29% a map which is the same as 20% for a best of three. Even if you could afford a max bet on Fnatic I wouldn't recommend doing so. HR has recently done okay vs tier one teams beating Titan at this lan and in a best of three a few days ago. They also played Envy very close in a best of one online. They are definitely one of the strongest tier two teams and have an okay chance at beating Fnatic here.






Format: Dreamhack - Best of Three

♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥ Odds: Dignitas 31% - Envy 69%

My odds: Dignitas 27% - Envy 73%

Kelly Criterion: 13% on Envy (at 0.45:1)

My recommended bet: 4.3% on Envy

My bet: waiting


Giving Dignitas 31% a map for 23% overall. Dignitas can definitely beat Envy, and has done so before, but 32% is extremely ambitious for a best of three. That would give Dignitas 38% a map so a bet on Envy here is best.


EDIT: Okay my friend pointed out that 31% a map seemed a hair low and I agree. I'm giving them 34% a map for 27% in the best of three.
Last edited by y2k; 10 May, 2015 @ 6:59am
< >
Showing 1-15 of 39 comments
Goo 9 May, 2015 @ 11:57pm 
i guess it is another skip day for me
#1
acepro71 10 May, 2015 @ 12:06am 
ill also place like 30 cents on hr if they win which i think they wont but still if they win by pure luck xD ill get 2 $
#2
Zenivo 10 May, 2015 @ 1:18am 
HR doing good? Titan flattened them 16-3, if I'm not mistaken.
#3
Noveson 10 May, 2015 @ 1:56am 
Originally posted by Zenivo:
HR doing good? Titan flattened them 16-3, if I'm not mistaken.

And then got beaten by them when they played again.
#4
15FTW 10 May, 2015 @ 1:57am 
What about SpaceS vs GPlay?
#5
w1ggy 10 May, 2015 @ 3:54am 
thanks, what about envy vs dignitas?
#6
48th POTUS 10 May, 2015 @ 5:13am 
Is this kick team the new kick lineup?
#7
I'm retarded 10 May, 2015 @ 5:27am 
Originally posted by lost 5 knives:
Is this kick team the new kick lineup?
Yes, previously why esports
#8
48th POTUS 10 May, 2015 @ 6:09am 
Originally posted by EnJ #SuicidePl0x:
Originally posted by lost 5 knives:
Is this kick team the new kick lineup?
Yes, previously why esports
Do they suck?
#9
I'm retarded 10 May, 2015 @ 6:11am 
Originally posted by lost 5 knives:
Originally posted by EnJ #SuicidePl0x:
Yes, previously why esports
Do they suck?
http://www.hltv.org/match/2294667-xfunction-whyesports-xfunction-iberian-cup-by-hitbox
there's this, but note that this was on march.
#10
48th POTUS 10 May, 2015 @ 6:21am 
http://imgur.com/iikvpGe
gaben pls
#11
#38 10 May, 2015 @ 6:40am 
HR JUST BEAT FNATIC ON INFERNO WTF BUTT = CLENCHED
#12
y2k 10 May, 2015 @ 6:41am 
yea hr has a really good chance to win overpass too, fnatic is not very good on overpass
#13
ArCaG 10 May, 2015 @ 6:45am 
Originally posted by y2kbased:
yea hr has a really good chance to win overpass too, fnatic is not very good on overpass
This can be your biggest win!!! :) GL to everyone, this game its just so intense
#14
Puukainais 10 May, 2015 @ 6:53am 
What would be the best skin (value) I could get for 1 key?
#15
< >
Showing 1-15 of 39 comments
Per page: 1530 50

All Discussions > General Discussions > Topic Details
Date Posted: 9 May, 2015 @ 11:46pm
Posts: 39
Start a New Discussion

Discussions Rules and Guidelines