Format: Dreamhack - Best of Three

♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥ Odds: Fnatic 90% - HellRaisers 10%

My odds: Fnatic 80% - HellRaisers 20%

Kelly Criterion: 11% on HellRaisers (at 9:1)

My recommended bet: 3.7% on HellRaisers, odds could still drop a bit though

My bet: $510 on HR


I'm giving HR 29% a map which is the same as 20% for a best of three. Even if you could afford a max bet on Fnatic I wouldn't recommend doing so. HR has recently done okay vs tier one teams beating Titan at this lan and in a best of three a few days ago. They also played Envy very close in a best of one online. They are definitely one of the strongest tier two teams and have an okay chance at beating Fnatic here.






Format: Dreamhack - Best of Three

♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥ Odds: Dignitas 31% - Envy 69%

My odds: Dignitas 27% - Envy 73%

Kelly Criterion: 13% on Envy (at 0.45:1)

My recommended bet: 4.3% on Envy

My bet: waiting


Giving Dignitas 31% a map for 23% overall. Dignitas can definitely beat Envy, and has done so before, but 32% is extremely ambitious for a best of three. That would give Dignitas 38% a map so a bet on Envy here is best.


EDIT: Okay my friend pointed out that 31% a map seemed a hair low and I agree. I'm giving them 34% a map for 27% in the best of three.