ΟΜΑΔΑ STEAM
y2kbased's betting strategies y2kbetting
Εγγραφή
ΟΜΑΔΑ STEAM
y2kbased's betting strategies y2kbetting
678
ΜΕΛΗ
11
ΣΕ ΠΑΙΧΝΙΔΙ
97
ΣΥΝΔΕΔΕΜΕΝΟΙ
Ίδρυση
15 Απριλίου 2015
Γλώσσα
Αγγλικά
Περιοχή
Canada 
Επισκόπηση Ανακοινώσεις Συζητήσεις Συμβάντα Μέλη Σχόλια
302 σχόλια
< >
q-fire 19 Ιουν 2015, 0:57 
hello , what's the status for the video u sad u work on?
y2k 31 Μαϊ 2015, 22:02 
Hey guys sorry I missed the matches today, I went out last night and drank way too much as was in bed for most of the day, I don't drink very often =p. I will post tomorrow's matches in the June group tonight and I'm still working on the video, it's taking a lot longer than I thought it would.
Reegz 31 Μαϊ 2015, 11:08 
Any predictions today buddy?
jman 30 Μαϊ 2015, 21:36 
what are the odds of Iskold winning LGB?
Puukainais 29 Μαϊ 2015, 15:27 
Anyone placing a bet on Australia vs. New Zealand matchup?
Puukainais 29 Μαϊ 2015, 12:41 
Actually predicted 3 matches today, 2 of them underdog wins ( Kinguin and KFish ) but because of my small inventory I can't take any risks before I have leftovers so I skipped. PJSalt :(
Ryggskott 29 Μαϊ 2015, 8:48 
Yeah np, they are playing really great right now (mirage), may i ask what times you are usally able to post on? (i'm in a completly different time-zone)
y2k 29 Μαϊ 2015, 8:42 
Sorry for missing the tsm/dig game, games usually don't start that early so I missed it but dig wouldve been an okay bet. I'm not betting on anything today, none of the matches look good and I could use a break from losing.
Ryggskott 29 Μαϊ 2015, 8:28 
yeah i ended up doing a ICB on them
Puukainais 29 Μαϊ 2015, 6:57 
Lake I ASSUME he'd go like 200$ on Dignitas because of the silly odds.

They've had some close matches, but Dignitas haven't really won any of the BO's in the end.
Ryggskott 29 Μαϊ 2015, 6:41 
please post on the tsm/dig match!
EntryLag 29 Μαϊ 2015, 6:27 
Will today be the day when Dig beats TSM?
✿conejo 28 Μαϊ 2015, 10:30 
Would going big on neo vs hr be bad? I'm close to doing it but decided to take a breather first.
y2k 26 Μαϊ 2015, 23:25 
@Zombotec Thanks for the kind words!
MrBreast (REAL) 26 Μαϊ 2015, 8:54 
@y2kbased First of all, thank you for your work. I will donate a fair share of my profit after the next LAN, so keep those predictions crisp. :)
rEVERS3D 26 Μαϊ 2015, 6:41 
@BildoTheKid Request the desktop version
Kronovi Anesti 25 Μαϊ 2015, 15:18 
Hey can anyone open the announcement links on phone? It won't let me open them.
Puukainais 24 Μαϊ 2015, 12:31 
What do you think about TA vs. Mouz?
Angro 24 Μαϊ 2015, 8:07 
?
doom 23 Μαϊ 2015, 20:11 
excited to see your thoughts for some of the ESEA/ESL games tomorrow!
Kronovi Anesti 23 Μαϊ 2015, 15:06 
@y2kbased thanks for the NiP HR advice! I didn't get to watch, but it was awesome when I checked my phone and realized I made $19!
BeanBean 23 Μαϊ 2015, 11:16 
Video bro, stop procrastinating. Remember what's really important in life. www.youtube.com/watch?v=fNTBb1u6UGg
y2k 23 Μαϊ 2015, 11:04 
I think NiP HR should be 34-66, so could be a good bet but I'm going golfing
y2k 23 Μαϊ 2015, 9:19 
Betting on HR vs NiP could be good if NiP beats Envy
y2k 23 Μαϊ 2015, 9:18 
Well the two good matches with Fnatic got cancelled, other than that nothing looks very good =/
Kronovi Anesti 23 Μαϊ 2015, 5:54 
@y2kbased any thoughts on todays matches?
MrBreast (REAL) 22 Μαϊ 2015, 12:06 
CSGOLOUNG IS DOWN!!! WE ARE DOOMED!!!1!
J_BS 21 Μαϊ 2015, 17:58 
@zarquon didnt research it properly at all saw my knife was available to bet on csgo lounge and assumed all knives had become available to bet
pepsi ok 21 Μαϊ 2015, 4:52 
@jbs why would it, the knives that are bettable on lounge are just new low tier items to bet, doesnt really make a difference
y2k 20 Μαϊ 2015, 22:11 
No I won't do anything differently
J_BS 20 Μαϊ 2015, 19:45 
just went on csgo lounge and i can now bet my knife? dear god please help me not to lose you, will this completely change your approach to betting y2k?
Packster 20 Μαϊ 2015, 16:16 
no NA matches?
LegoMaster 20 Μαϊ 2015, 9:08 
Agh I see thank you. 36% is the chance of winning over lose/draw
Lionfish 20 Μαϊ 2015, 7:06 
you take the chance of them losing and the chance of them winning and add it then divide the chance of winning by the addition. .36+.16 = .52
.36/.52 =.69
This is because the chance of draw is entirely irrelevant because you get skins back
xTikka 20 Μαϊ 2015, 4:08 
@Triton you have to calculate percentages with values in the range [1,0] . If they have 0.6 chance to win each map the probability of winning both = 0.6*0.6 = 0.36 (36%) however, the chance of not losing the BO2 = 1-(0.4*0.4) = 0.84 (84%). I guess the 69% is then some value in between.
LegoMaster 20 Μαϊ 2015, 1:10 
@y2kbased. When you say

I'm giving them 60% a map for 69% in the best of two here.

How do you figure that? Wouldn't statistically, if you're giving them 60% to win each map, they only have 36% chance to win the Bo2?
y2k 19 Μαϊ 2015, 19:23 
It did that to me, just have to change the language on the top right and it's normal.
Kronovi Anesti 19 Μαϊ 2015, 19:16 
Why is ms ♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥ all in Russian? Anyone else have this problem?
jisoo 18 Μαϊ 2015, 15:11 
teach me to golf @y2kbased
y2k 18 Μαϊ 2015, 13:14 
Hey guys, none of these NA games tonight look very profitable so I'm just going to go golfing.
Puukainais 18 Μαϊ 2015, 11:09 
Who else just lost everything on Gplay (͡° ͜ʖ ͡°) I sure did, RiP
fragDADDY 18 Μαϊ 2015, 8:54 
What are you guys thinking for todays matches?
MrBreast (REAL) 18 Μαϊ 2015, 8:34 
@y2kbased I made 20~ bucks with 5€ EV. Maybe i should run this group now. lol
fragDADDY 18 Μαϊ 2015, 7:31 
come in y2k!
Puukainais 18 Μαϊ 2015, 5:30 
Man, was I the only one who bet ON Na'Vi ? :(
4g 18 Μαϊ 2015, 4:51 
Predictions for todays matches? I went all-in on VP vs NaVi and won. Never doing that again, too scary :L
LegoMaster 17 Μαϊ 2015, 19:41 
Well... Thanks Affnity!

http://i.imgur.com/rLrCZE6.png
y2k 17 Μαϊ 2015, 19:04 
Hopefully you guys did pretty well this weekend. I made $2350 off the lan with an EV of $2700, so still didn't run super well.
Kronovi Anesti 16 Μαϊ 2015, 20:50 
@GanjaLord4tothe20 he usually posts about an hour before each match.
kz 16 Μαϊ 2015, 20:41 
any predictions for tomorrows gfin matches?