Format: ESL - Best of One - Cache

♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥ Odds: VP 40% - NiP 60%

My odds: VP 39% - NiP 61%

Kelly Criterion: N/A

My recommended bet: Skip

My bet: Skipping


We saw these teams play eachother on Cache a few days ago at the FaceIt Lan and NiP won 16-14. VP Also played Fnatic on it and lost, and NiP played TSM on it and lost. The records for these teams are now VP 5-9 NiP 9-7 (Matchup 2-0 for Nip) which would put the odds at 61% for NiP so I'm recommending a skip.





Format: ESL - Best of One - Inferno

♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥ Odds: VP 78% - Penta 22%

My odds: VP 70-80% - Penta 20-30%

Kelly Criterion: N/A

My recommended bet: Skip

My bet: Skipping


Besides Dust 2, Inferno is Virtus Pro's worst map holding a 2-9 record on it vs tier one teams. However vs non-tier one teams they are 10-2. Penta are a strong tier two team and have pulled off more than a few upsets since I started watching counterstrike. However most of the roster that managed to pull these upsets have changed teams and moved to mouz and Penta picked up three former PlanetKey members. Without having seen this team play I can't give odds that I'm super confident in so I'm just going to give Penta 20-30% and probably skip.







Format: CEVO - Best of Two

♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥ Odds: Navi 65% - NiP 35%

My odds: Navi 53% - NiP 47%

Kelly Criterion: 18% on NiP (at 1.82:1)

My recommended bet: 6% on NiP

My bet: Only managed to get $560 on NiP


NiP will most likely ban Cobble and Overpass, Navi will ban Cache and Inferno/Train. Most likely maps are Mirage/Dust 2.

Mirage - Nip 7-11 Navi 5-4 (Navi is 1-0) Overall 59% Navi
Dust 2 - NiP 11-8 Navi 4-5 (NiP is 1-0) Overall 56.5% NiP

Overall odds 53-47 for Navi







Format: ESL - Best of One - Dust 2

♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥ Odds: Mouz 29% - HR 71%

My odds: Mouz 40-35% - HR 65-60%

Kelly Criterion: ~10.8% on Mouz at (2.41:1)

My recommended bet: ~3.6% on Mouz

My bet: steam was being weird, my bet got returned, wasnt able to bet


Both these teams have recently been showing they are some of the best tier two teams. Historically Mouz has done pretty well on Dust 2 recently beating TSM on it and have many close games vs other tier one teams. They have a good chance of beating HR. There hasn't been a tonne of information to go off of as mouz hasn't played much recently and have made some changes so I'm just going to estimate the odds here.








Format: ESL - Best of One - Overpass

♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥ Odds: Navi 79% - Titan 21%

My odds: Navi 70% - Titan 30%

Kelly Criterion: 10.9 Titan

My recommended bet: 3.6% on Titan or Skip

My bet: Just $200 on Titan


Navi is the strongest team in the world on Overpass, and Titan doesn't really play it too often. That being said overall these two teams are similar in skill so I'm giving Titan 30% to win. A small bet on Titan would be good, however they recently took a break and just lost a best of three yesterday to HR so feel free to skip. Also if Navi ends up losing to NiP the odds may slide to around 70-30 so be patient with your bet here.





Format: CEVO - Best of Two

♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥ Odds: VP 77% - HR 23%

My odds: VP 80% - HR 20%

Kelly Criterion:

My recommended bet: Skip

My bet: Skipping

20% for a best of two is roughly 33% a map which seems pretty fair, so I'm just skipping.